Dow Rebounds as Fed's Rate Cut Looms: What Investors Need to Know Now

Tech surges, markets brace for Powell's hawkish tone, and housing data adds a twist to the story

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Dec 18, 2024
Summary
  • Dow climbs 0.3% ahead of Fed decision; tech rallies, Powell’s tone key for 2025 outlook
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The Dow Jones (DIA, Financial) finally snapped its nine-day losing streak on Wednesday, inching up 0.3%, a small but welcome rebound after its longest slump since 1978. Investors are shifting their bets, rotating out of old-school industrial stocks and piling into tech heavyweights. The Nasdaq (QQQ, Financial) is riding high, up 4.6% this month, while Nvidia (NVDA, Financial) bounced back with a nearly 4% surge after hitting correction territory. Despite all this action, the Fed's upcoming rate decision looms large, with investors bracing for potential turbulence.

Here's the scoop: The Fed is widely expected to trim rates by 25 basis points, dialing them down to a range of 4.25%-4.50%. But don't pop the champagne just yet. Fed Chair Jerome Powell might rain on the party with hawkish comments, signaling a cautious stance on rate cuts for 2025. Analysts say Powell's tone could rattle the markets in the short term, but historically, any Fed-driven market swings tend to settle down quickly. The message? Buckle up, but don't panic—volatility may be fleeting.

Meanwhile, housing data threw a mixed bag into the economic narrative. Building permits jumped 6.1% in November, beating expectations, while starts and completions lagged. Single-family completions, though, rose by 3.3%, offering a bright spot. Combine this with a tech-fueled Nasdaq rally and a market nervously watching the Fed, and you've got a perfect storm of opportunity and risk. Investors are laser-focused on how today's Fed decision could set the stage for 2025. Stay sharp—this isn't the moment to zone out.

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I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours. Click for the complete disclosure