Yen Approaches Critical Level Amid Potential BOJ Rate Hike Pressure

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Dec 17, 2024
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The USD/JPY exchange rate has surged to nearly 155, raising concerns about potential verbal intervention and interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The yen has depreciated by approximately 2.8% this month, making it one of the weakest major currencies. If it surpasses 155, it will reach its highest level since November 22.

Analysts warn that a breach of this level might prompt the Bank of Japan to consider a rate hike. Current overnight index swaps indicate a 19% probability of a rate hike this week. Previously, expectations for a December rate increase had fallen from 60% due to media reports.

Further yen movements depend on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting, which precedes the Bank of Japan's decision.

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