BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Drops Amid Insider and Large Shareholder Sales

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Dec 12, 2024

BigBear.ai (BBAI, Financial) experienced a significant decline in its stock price, reporting a sharp drop of 13.93% to a price of $2.565. The fall is primarily attributed to recent revelations of substantial sell-offs by company insiders and institutional shareholders, fueling market concerns.

BigBear.ai recently witnessed a wave of insider selling, as disclosed in SEC filings. Notably, Sean Ricker, the company's Chief Accounting Officer, sold 17,629 shares. Additionally, BBAI Ultimate Holdings, linked to AE Industrial Partners, filed to sell 3,248,938 shares, continuing a trend of significant insider and major shareholder sales.

Despite a 31% rise over the past month, these insider transactions have overshadowed the positive momentum for BBAI, putting downward pressure on the stock.

From a valuation standpoint, BigBear.ai has a GF Value of $1.24, which suggests that the stock is "Significantly Overvalued." For more insights into the GF Value of BigBear.ai, please refer to the GF Value page. This overvaluation is also reflected in its high P/B ratio of 6.58, which is close to its 2-year high.

The financial stability of BigBear.ai is a subject of concern, as indicated by its Altman Z-score of -0.83, placing it in the distress zone and suggesting a possibility of bankruptcy in the next two years. The company also shows poor financial strength, primarily due to high levels of debt. However, the Beneish M-Score shows that BigBear.ai is unlikely to be a manipulator, offering some reassurance.

Overall, the substantial insider sell-offs and financial indicators suggest cautiousness for potential investors, especially considering the immense volatility and financial risks associated with BigBear.ai.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.