WBA Surges as Walgreens Boots Alliance Considers Sale to Sycamore Partners

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Dec 10, 2024
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Shares of Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA, Financial) experienced a significant rise in value, increasing by 17.74%, following reports of ongoing discussions with private equity firm Sycamore Partners regarding a potential acquisition. This potential buyout may offer current investors a premium on their shares if a deal is finalized.

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA, Financial), a prominent pharmacy-led health and wellness company, witnessed an impressive surge in its stock price, closing at $10.42. The stock's recent performance has garnered attention, particularly given the broader challenges facing the company.

From a valuation perspective, WBA presents a mixed picture. One notable highlight is the company's low price-to-book ratio, standing at 0.86, which indicates the stock might be undervalued relative to its book value. The company's PS ratio is close to its 10-year low, at 0.05, suggesting that the stock is priced attractively compared to its historical sales figures.

However, investors should exercise caution due to several warning signs. WBA's financial health is under scrutiny, as evidenced by a distressing Altman Z-Score of 1.6, placing it in the distress zone with potential bankruptcy risks in the next two years. Furthermore, the Piotroski F-Score of 3 implies weak operational efficiency. Additionally, the company's operating income has been negative in 67% of the past quarters.

Looking at profitability, Walgreens Boots Alliance has reported a declining gross margin, averaging a -4.5% annual decrease. This trend, coupled with the significant issuance of new debt amounting to $1.8 billion over the last three years, raises concerns about the sustainability of its financial practices.

Despite these challenges, the Beneish M-Score of -2.34 indicates that the company is unlikely to be manipulating its earnings, offering some reassurance regarding its accounting practices.

In terms of the stock's intrinsic value, the GF Value estimate suggests that the stock may be a possible value trap, with a current GF Value of $36.3. For more detailed insights into the stock's intrinsic value, visit the GF Value page.

Investors considering WBA should weigh the potential upside from a successful acquisition against the existing financial challenges. Although the stock is trading at a substantial discount to its GF Value, the company's underlying financial metrics underscore the need for careful evaluation and consideration of the risks involved.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.