BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Surges on Bullish Comparison to Palantir

Author's Avatar
Dec 03, 2024

Shares of BigBear.ai (BBAI, Financial), a provider of server and storage solutions, soared by 19.87% on Tuesday, propelled by positive comparisons to data mining and AI specialist Palantir Technologies (PLTR) in an international publication. The stock climbed sharply, fueling investor interest and optimism about its future potential in the AI domain.

BigBear.ai, with a market capitalization of approximately $660.82 million, focuses on decision-intelligence solutions powered by AI and machine learning, tailored to assist business leaders in making informed decisions. This aligns with Palantir's specialization in AI and machine learning cloud-based software. Despite the differences in scale, both companies maintain an ongoing strategic partnership, positioning BigBear.ai as a potential emerging player akin to Palantir.

However, transitioning to a major player like Palantir entails overcoming significant challenges. In its recent financial performance, BigBear.ai reported a revenue increase of 22% to $41.5 million but faced a loss per share of $0.05. Comparatively, Palantir's financials boasted $726 million in revenue with earnings per share of $0.06.

BigBear.ai's valuation metrics indicate that it trades at approximately 3 times forward sales, presenting a stark contrast to Palantir's 46 times. The company currently exhibits poor financial strength, reflected in its Altman Z-Score of -1.32, placing it in the distress zone with potential bankruptcy risks within the next two years. Additionally, its Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio is near a two-year high.

From a valuation standpoint, BigBear.ai is significantly overvalued with a current GF Value of 1.26, indicating potential downside. Its negative earnings and cash flow metrics, coupled with substantial debt, heighten the investment risk. For more insights on GF Value, visit the GF Value page.

As BigBear.ai navigates through these financial challenges, investors should weigh the risks against the potential growth in the burgeoning AI sector. While the stock showcases speculative growth characteristics, its financial health requires careful scrutiny.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.