Why AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock is Moving Today

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Nov 15, 2024

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS, Financial) shares plummeted 13.81% following a disappointing earnings report. The company reported a loss of $1.10 per share for Q3 2024, significantly missing analyst expectations of a $0.23 loss.

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS, Financial), a satellite designer and manufacturer, is focused on building a cellular broadband network in space. Despite recent achievements, including the successful launch of its first five BlueBird satellites, and plans for further deployments in partnership with AT&T and Verizon, AST faces substantial financial hurdles before profitability.

The company's financials reveal a challenging road ahead. With a market capitalization of approximately $4.61 billion and a cash reserve just under $519 million, ASTS has significant funding needs. Each satellite deployment costs an estimated $20 million, and with plans to deploy 60 more satellites by 2025-2026, the company faces a funding shortfall of around $700 million. This might necessitate stock issuance or customer prepayments to bridge the gap, potentially diluting existing shareholders by about 14%.

AST SpaceMobile's financial health shows several red flags, including a Piotroski F-Score of 2, indicating weak business operations, and a high Sloan Ratio, suggesting poor earnings quality. Furthermore, the company has been consistently issuing debt, with $208.413 million added over the past three years.

On the positive side, the company holds an Altman Z-score of 8.09, indicating strong financial health. Insider buying activity also signals confidence, with recent purchases totaling 4,934 shares. However, with a high price-to-book ratio of 23.57 and severe warning signs regarding profitability, caution is advised.

Currently, ASTS trades at a price of $23.10, below its target price of $37.74. However, the GF Value assessment suggests that the stock cannot be properly evaluated due to substantial uncertainties in its financial health. For detailed GF Value analysis, visit the GF Value page.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.