Experian PLC (EXPGF) Half Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Organic Revenue Growth and Strategic Progress

Experian PLC (EXPGF) reports robust first-half performance with significant EBIT growth and strategic acquisitions enhancing market position.

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Nov 14, 2024
Summary
  • Organic Revenue Growth: 7% in constant currency for the first half.
  • EBIT Margin Progression: 60 basis points increase, ahead of expectations.
  • Benchmark EBIT Growth: 10% at constant rates.
  • EPS Growth: 9% at constant rates.
  • Operating Cash Flow: $770 million with a conversion of 71%.
  • Return on Capital Employed: 16.6% for the half.
  • Interim Dividend Per Share: 19.25¢, up 7% from the prior year.
  • Net Debt to EBITDA Leverage: 2 times, at the bottom of the target range.
  • North America Organic Revenue Growth: 7% in Q2, with B2B growing 9%.
  • Latin America Organic Revenue Growth: 9% in Q2.
  • UK Organic Revenue Growth: 2% for the half.
  • Asia Pacific Organic Revenue Growth: 7% for the half.
  • Acquisitions: Over $800 million spent, contributing around 1.5% to revenue growth in FY25.
  • FY25 Organic Revenue Growth Guidance: 6 to 8% for the full year.
  • CapEx Guidance: Expected to be around 9% of revenue.
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Release Date: November 13, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Experian PLC (EXPGF, Financial) reported a strong first half performance with organic revenue growth of 7%, aligning with expectations and showing good momentum.
  • The company achieved a 10% growth in EBIT for ongoing activities and a 60 basis point EBIT margin progression, surpassing the top end of expectations.
  • Experian PLC (EXPGF) made significant strategic progress, including the successful integration of acquisitions like Eone in Australia and Clear Sale in Brazil, enhancing their market position.
  • The company saw strong growth in consumer services, particularly in Latin America, with a 27% increase, driven by expanding their product ecosystem and consumer engagement.
  • Experian PLC (EXPGF) continues to invest in technology and innovation, including the introduction of generative AI use cases, positioning them well for future growth and profitability.

Negative Points

  • The UK market remains weak, with only 2% organic revenue growth, reflecting a subdued lending environment.
  • Latin America's B2B growth was lower than expected due to economic uncertainties and rising interest rates, impacting performance.
  • The company faces headwinds in the auto market due to affordability issues and uncertainty, affecting growth potential.
  • Experian PLC (EXPGF) anticipates a 2% headwind from foreign exchange impacts on revenue and EBIT growth, primarily due to the weakening Brazilian real.
  • The company is still experiencing subdued conditions in unsecured credit volumes, which have not yet shown broad-based recovery.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide an outlook for Latin America's B2B segment, given the Q2 performance was not as strong as expected?
A: Brian Cassin, CEO: In Q2, we saw a pickup in performance, particularly in consumer services, but B2B was a bit weaker due to uncertain economic conditions in Brazil. We expect high single-digit growth in Brazil for the second half, with some positive momentum in decisioning and fraud. The floods in Q1 did not affect Q2, and we anticipate continued progress in H2.

Q: With the margin upgrade to the upper end of 30 to 50 basis points, should we expect similar performance in the coming years?
A: Lloyd Pitchford, CFO: The first half performance was strong, and while we are not providing specific guidance for FY26 yet, the progress is promising. The benefits of our technology program are expected to kick in from years three to five, which should support margin expansion.

Q: Could you discuss the potential for double-digit organic revenue growth, especially with volume tailwinds?
A: Brian Cassin, CEO: We have not seen a broad-based recovery in core credit volumes yet, but the business is performing well with high single-digit growth. If we see a recovery, it could enhance our performance. We will provide more guidance as we progress through FY25.

Q: How do you see trends in the US B2B data segment for the rest of the year?
A: Lloyd Pitchford, CFO: We saw improvement in Q2, particularly in clarity services and the Ascend platform. While we are not forecasting a broad-based recovery this year, the interest rate cycle has turned, and we expect positive trends to continue into next year.

Q: Can you elaborate on the progress in the health segment, especially with the largest health contract in company history?
A: Brian Cassin, CEO: The contract will benefit us in FY26 and beyond. Currently, we are seeing strong organic growth and positive reception to our Wave acquisition. The health business is performing well, with a long runway for future growth.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.