Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp (MODG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic Initiatives

Despite a dip in same venue sales, Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp (MODG) focuses on digital efforts and new game offerings to drive future growth.

Author's Avatar
Nov 13, 2024
Summary
  • Q3 Revenue: $1.013 billion, decreased 3% year-over-year.
  • Q3 Adjusted EBITDA: $120 million, declined 27% compared to the prior year.
  • Topgolf Q3 Revenue: $453 million, grew 1% year-over-year.
  • Topgolf Same Venue Sales: Decreased 11% in Q3.
  • Golf Equipment Revenue: $294 million, up slightly due to shipment timing.
  • Active Lifestyle Revenue: Decreased 11% year-over-year, primarily due to Jack Wolfskin's performance.
  • Cash Flow from Operations: Increased $111 million, or 49%, for the first nine months compared to the prior year.
  • Inventory Reduction: Decreased $70 million since Q3 last year.
  • REIT-Adjusted Net Debt: Decreased approximately $220 million year-over-year.
  • Available Liquidity: $863 million, increased $129 million year-over-year.
  • Full-Year Revenue Guidance: Adjusted to approximately $4.2 billion.
  • Full-Year EBITDA Guidance: Lowered to a range of $560 million to $570 million.
  • Q4 Revenue Forecast: Approximately $885 million.
  • Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Forecast: $74 million to $84 million.
Article's Main Image

Release Date: November 12, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp (MODG, Financial) reported Q3 results that exceeded guidance in both legacy and Topgolf businesses.
  • The company maintained its number one US market share position in golf clubs for the third consecutive year.
  • Topgolf's new venues are performing well, achieving financial targets and returns.
  • The Golf Equipment segment showed strong performance, with new club and ball launches contributing positively.
  • The company successfully reduced inventory by $70 million year-over-year, improving cash flow and liquidity.

Negative Points

  • Topgolf's same venue sales decreased by 11%, with significant declines in the 3+ Bay events segment.
  • The company lowered its full-year revenue guidance by approximately $30 million due to slower market conditions.
  • Active Lifestyle segment revenues decreased by 11% year-over-year, primarily due to challenges in the Jack Wolfskin brand.
  • Foreign exchange rates and volatile freight costs negatively impacted financial performance.
  • The company faces potential headwinds in 2025, including resetting incentive compensation accruals and unfavorable FX rates.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Could you break down recent traffic versus average spend at Topgolf and discuss initiatives for improving same venue sales in 2025?
A: Recent trends at Topgolf showed a balanced impact between spend per visit and traffic, with a 9% decline in consumer business split evenly between these factors. The events business showed more volatility. Initiatives to improve same venue sales include digital efforts, consumer data platform implementation, and enhancing visitor experiences with new games like Sonic the Hedgehog. These efforts aim to drive long-term traffic growth. - Oliver Brewer, CEO

Q: Can you elaborate on the recent improvement in golf equipment sell-through trends in Q4 relative to Q3?
A: The Golf Equipment business is healthy, with rounds played up and participation increasing. The Q3 dip in club business was due to normal volatility, with sell-through returning to positive in September and October. The overall market conditions and brand position remain strong. - Oliver Brewer, CEO

Q: How did the quarter play out for Topgolf, considering the sales were down 11%?
A: There was volatility throughout the quarter, with August performing better and September worse. The consumer portion was stronger than the 3+ Bay events, which saw a decline in larger events. Weather impacts were more significant in October. December has a tough comparison due to last year's favorable weather. - Oliver Brewer, CEO

Q: Why is the guidance for same venue sales in Q4 down 10-15% so wide?
A: The wide range accounts for potential weather impacts, particularly in December, which is a significant month for events. Weather can significantly affect sales during this period. - Oliver Brewer, CEO

Q: Is a spin-off of Topgolf still the most likely outcome, and is July 1 the target date?
A: We are fully engaged in the separation process of Topgolf, evaluating both spin and sale options. If a spin is the outcome, mid-next year is the earliest target date. - Oliver Brewer, CEO

Q: Have there been any changes to the Topgolf venue pipeline or types of venues planned?
A: Adjustments have been made to the number of venues opening, reflecting business conditions. However, there are no changes in venue types. The pipeline and returns remain excellent. - Oliver Brewer, CEO

Q: Can you provide more details on Topgolf's promotional efforts and their impact?
A: Promotions have focused on the consumer side, such as the Free 30 promotion, now targeted more effectively using the consumer data platform. On the corporate side, improved outbound sales efforts and specific promotions are being implemented. - Oliver Brewer, CEO

Q: How should we think about the impact of fewer venue openings on Topgolf's 2025 free cash flow?
A: While we're not providing 2025 guidance yet, fewer venue openings will positively impact cash flow. However, potential headwinds include resetting incentive compensation accruals and current FX rates. - Brian Lynch, CFO

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.