Alcoa Corp (AA) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Net Income Growth Amid Flat Revenue

Alcoa Corp (AA) reports a robust increase in net income and strategic progress despite challenges in the aluminum segment.

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Summary
  • Revenue: Flat sequentially at $2.9 billion.
  • Net Income: $90 million, up from $20 million in the prior quarter.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): Improved by $0.27 to $0.38 per share.
  • Adjusted Net Income: $135 million, or $0.57 per share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: Increased by $130 million to $455 million.
  • Alumina Segment Revenue: Third-party revenue increased 9% due to higher average realized prices.
  • Aluminum Segment Revenue: Third-party revenue decreased 5% due to lower shipments.
  • Cash Balance: $1.3 billion.
  • Free Cash Flow: Nearly neutral for the quarter.
  • Capital Expenditures: Continued to be a large use of cash year-to-date through September.
  • Working Capital: Increased compared to the second quarter.
  • Return on Equity: Year-to-date return turned positive to 0.6%.
  • Days Working Capital: Increased by 4 days to 45 days sequentially.
  • Dividend: Third-quarter dividend added $26 million to stockholder capital returns.
  • Alumina Shipments Outlook: Increased to 12.9 million to 13.1 million tons for the full year.
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Release Date: October 16, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Alcoa Corp (AA, Financial) reported a strong third quarter with increased aluminum production for the eighth consecutive quarter.
  • The acquisition of Alumina Limited was accretive to third-quarter results, eliminating net income attributable to noncontrolling interest and providing cash tax savings of approximately $100 million over the next 12 to 18 months.
  • Alcoa Corp (AA) achieved significant cost savings, with $525 million of the $645 million savings target already delivered by the end of the third quarter.
  • The company is well-positioned in the alumina market, benefiting from high alumina prices and increased economic exposure due to the Alumina Limited acquisition.
  • Alcoa Corp (AA) is progressing with strategic initiatives, including the sale of its 25.1% stake in the Ma'aden joint ventures, which is expected to close in the first half of 2025, enhancing financial visibility and flexibility.

Negative Points

  • Revenue was flat sequentially at $2.9 billion, with a decrease in third-party revenue in the aluminum segment due to lower shipments.
  • The aluminum segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased by $53 million, primarily due to higher alumina costs and lower metal prices.
  • The Kwinana curtailment has been slow to deliver savings, with high transition and holding costs impacting the expected $70 million improvement target.
  • Alcoa Corp (AA) faces challenges in its Spanish operations, with the need for government and union support to ensure the viability of the San Ciprián asset.
  • The company is dealing with tight alumina market conditions due to supply disruptions, which could impact future production and pricing stability.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide an update on the partnership discussions in Spain and the potential impact on production?
A: William Oplinger, CEO, explained that Alcoa is working towards a partnership with IGNIS to leverage their energy market expertise. The partnership is conditional on stakeholder cooperation, including CO2 compensation and permitting of power projects. The goal is to make the Spanish operations viable, but discussions with stakeholders are ongoing.

Q: What is the endgame for the San Ciprián operations, and how does the potential partnership with IGNIS fit into this?
A: Oplinger stated that the aim is to make San Ciprián a viable asset with support from unions and the government. Alcoa is committing up to EUR175 million, contingent on receiving CO2 compensation and accessing restricted cash. The partnership with IGNIS is seen as a way to achieve this viability.

Q: How is Alcoa addressing the power cost challenges in Spain, and what role does IGNIS play in this?
A: Oplinger noted that power costs in Spain are uncompetitive compared to other European countries. IGNIS will help Alcoa navigate power markets and seek CO2 compensation and transmission cost assistance to improve competitiveness.

Q: Can you elaborate on the alumina market dynamics and the potential for supply constraints?
A: Oplinger highlighted that the alumina market is currently tight due to various disruptions, including curtailments and force majeure events. The market is expected to remain tight into the first half of next year unless disruptions are resolved and growth occurs in Indonesia and India.

Q: What are Alcoa's capital allocation priorities given the current market environment?
A: Molly Beerman, CFO, emphasized that deleveraging is a priority for early 2025, especially after the Alumina Limited acquisition. While paying down debt is a focus, Alcoa will also consider shareholder returns, growth opportunities, and portfolio actions based on cash flow.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.