Genius Sports Ltd's Meteoric Rise: Unpacking the 15% Surge in Just 3 Months

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI, Financial) has experienced a notable uptick in its stock performance, with a market capitalization now standing at $1.24 billion. The current price of $5.92 reflects a 5.71% gain over the past week and an impressive 14.51% gain over the past three months. According to GuruFocus's valuation metrics, the stock is currently fairly valued, with a GF Value of $6.22, indicating that the stock price is aligned with the company's intrinsic value.

Introduction to Genius Sports Ltd

Genius Sports Ltd operates within the interactive media industry, providing B2B technology-led products and services to sports-related sectors. The company's offerings span sports technology, betting technology, and media technology, all underpinned by proprietary technology and a robust data infrastructure. The Betting Technology, Content and Services division is the company's primary revenue generator, with Europe being its largest market. 1748347604569223168.png

Assessing Profitability

Despite its growth, Genius Sports Ltd's profitability remains a concern, with a Profitability Rank of 1/10. The company's Operating Margin stands at -20.68%, which, while not ideal, is better than 26.06% of 587 companies in the same industry. Its ROE of -29.91% and ROA of -22.96% also reflect challenges in profitability, although these figures are better than those of 21.17% and 21.26% of industry peers, respectively. The ROIC of -14.15% is another area for potential improvement, yet it surpasses 30.95% of competitors. 1748347621937836032.png

Growth Trajectory

Genius Sports Ltd's growth metrics are more encouraging. The company boasts a 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share of 38.70%, outperforming 84.5% of 516 companies in the industry. The estimated Total Revenue Growth Rate for the next 3 to 5 years is 16.84%, which is better than 86.36% of industry peers. However, the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate is at -63.40%, indicating that profitability is not keeping pace with revenue growth. 1748347639100928000.png

Investor Confidence

Notable investors have taken positions in Genius Sports Ltd, signaling confidence in its potential. Catherine Wood (Trades, Portfolio) holds 6,914,013 shares, representing 3.31% of the company, while Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio) and Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) hold 0.26% and 0.02%, respectively. These investments by prominent figures in the financial world suggest a belief in the company's future despite current profitability challenges.

Competitive Landscape

In comparison to its competitors, Genius Sports Ltd holds its own in the interactive media industry. Taboola.com Ltd (TBLA, Financial) has a market cap close to GENI's at $1.2 billion, while Rover Group Inc (ROVR, Financial) and Opera Ltd (OPRA, Financial) have market caps of $1.97 billion and $971.848 million, respectively. GENI's recent stock performance and growth rates indicate a competitive stance within this group.

Conclusion

In summary, Genius Sports Ltd's stock performance has been robust in recent months, with a fair valuation according to the GF Value. While profitability remains a concern, the company's revenue growth is strong, and the confidence of top investors suggests potential for future success. As GENI continues to navigate the competitive landscape of interactive media, its growth prospects and strategic positioning will be key factors to watch.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.